Andy Burnham given major Brexit U-turn warning — ‘have you thought about this?’ . hyn

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Andy Burnham pictured in suit and tie

Andy Burnham has not ruled out reversing Brexit (Image: Getty)

Britain’s re-entry into the European Union comes with a major risk, a major finance boss has warned. The Prime Minister has not ruled out a second EU referndum and a reversal of Brexit, which he thinks has “done more harm than good”. Extra paperwork and checks and the delays at the EU border have hurt UK businesses, Nigel Green, the CEO of deVere Group said. He added that a closer relationship with Europe would be good for the economy. “There’s no question about it,” Mr Green said. “But the same changes that make it easier to do business with Europe also make it easier for people, and their money, to move there.

“Investors need to factor in both.” If the Government does not change its stance on taxation, entrepreneurs and investors would be tempted to leave Blighty, and this would be easier for them to do inside the EU, Mr Green suggested. “We’re already seeing entrepreneurs, senior executives and internationally mobile families seriously considering a move abroad as taxes go up,” he said.

“It comes up in our conversations every week. If moving around Europe becomes easier, that’s one less obstacle for them. Closer ties with the EU won’t solve problems of the UK’s own making.

“If the tax burden keeps rising and the state keeps growing, we risk losing the entrepreneurs and investors the economy depends on, and we won’t attract new ones to replace them. Wealthy people and business owners have more choice than ever about where they live and invest, and they’ll go wherever they feel most valued.”

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“Alongside the EU reset, the Government needs to get domestic policy right. This means a competitive tax system, a planning process that doesn’t hold projects up for years, and enough stability for businesses to plan ahead with confidence.

“The UK has huge strengths in its talent, its legal system, and its capital markets. Get both of these right and it can be one of the most attractive places in Europe for capital. Get only one right and it simply becomes easier for people to leave.”

Nigel Green, founder and CEO of deVere Group at the Game Changers Series, JW Marriott Hotel in Admiralty. 11MAY16 SCMP/K. Y. Cheng

deVere Group CEO, Nigel Green (Image: Getty)

Mr Burnham told MPs yesterday that it would be a “dereliction of duty” not to seek deeper partnership with the EU but said the British public will be the “boss” at every stage of renegotiating the relationship. “If we are serious about promoting growth, controlling immigration, upholding our values and security, it is a conversation we must have,” he said.

“Sticking with the status quo is not good enough for Britain. Worse, it would be a major dereliction of duty to turn away.” He added: “Our immediate priority is securing a successful outcome at the summit, and I believe we should then set up a serious dialogue about the different options for our relationship in the long term.

“At every stage, the British public will be the boss, and I am clear that public opinion currently supports a pragmatic approach like the one I am suggesting.” Mr Burnham said the upcoming talks present “an opportunity to make progress on two crucial issues: boosting UK growth and controlling illegal immigration”.

He added: “The summit will also be an opportunity to raise our concerns about Made in Europe and it is clear to me that there is an opportunity to make progress in all of these areas. Together, these deals will add the equivalent of over £10 billion per year to the UK economy by 2040, with the potential to add significantly more.”

A No. 10 source told PA: “Andy understands why some politicians don’t want to face up to the reality that Brexit has not delivered what they once promised. But it is time for a different conversation about what our long-term relationship should be. Sticking with the status quo and not working relentlessly to secure a good deal that boosts growth would be a major dereliction of duty.”

Andy Burnham Given Major Brexit U-Turn Warning — ‘Have You Thought About This?’

Andy Burnham faces a difficult balancing act as he pushes for a closer relationship between Britain and the European Union. While the Prime Minister argues that a new deal could boost economic growth and improve cooperation, a prominent finance executive has issued a warning that any reset could carry unintended consequences for the very businesses the government wants to attract.

The warning centres on taxation, investment and the freedom of wealthy individuals and companies to move their money and operations across borders. Nigel Green, chief executive of deVere Group, argues that closer European ties could make it easier for entrepreneurs and internationally mobile families to relocate if they believe Britain is becoming less attractive as a place to live, work and invest. <Cite refs={[“turn362752news21”]}/>

His intervention raises an important question for Burnham: have the potential costs of a closer relationship with Europe been examined as carefully as the promised benefits?

Burnham’s Push for a New European Deal

Burnham has argued that Britain should not simply accept the current post-Brexit arrangements without considering whether a better agreement is possible.

Speaking to MPs on 12 October, he said that maintaining the status quo was not good enough and described refusing to explore a closer partnership with the EU as a dereliction of duty. He also stressed that the British public would remain in control of decisions about the country’s long-term relationship with Europe. <Cite refs={[“turn362752search0″,”turn362752search1”]}/>

His immediate priority is to make progress on practical issues, including trade, food standards, energy and cooperation on migration. The government hopes that targeted agreements could reduce barriers facing British businesses while helping the authorities work more effectively with European partners.

For businesses that trade regularly with the EU, the argument is straightforward. Additional paperwork and regulatory requirements can increase costs, complicate supply chains and make it harder for smaller companies to compete. Reducing some of those obstacles could create opportunities for exporters and improve the UK’s commercial relationship with its largest nearby trading partner.

However, closer cooperation can also involve obligations. Where Britain agrees to align with European rules, it may have less freedom to establish different standards in the relevant areas.

Burnham therefore faces a political and economic calculation. He must demonstrate that the benefits of any proposed agreement justify its costs and that Britain can maintain an attractive environment for investment while negotiating closer ties.

The Warning Over Taxes and Investment

Green’s warning is that the government should not assume a closer relationship with Europe will automatically make Britain more prosperous.

He argues that entrepreneurs, senior executives and internationally mobile families already consider taxation when deciding where to live and invest. If the UK becomes less competitive, easier movement around Europe could make relocation a more practical option for some of them.

This does not mean that a new EU agreement would inevitably trigger an exodus of wealthy people. Business decisions are influenced by numerous factors, including tax rates, access to skilled workers, the stability of the legal system, housing costs, infrastructure and the availability of investment opportunities.

Nevertheless, Green’s argument highlights a potential tension in economic policy. A government may want to reduce barriers to trade with Europe while also ensuring that its domestic tax and regulatory arrangements remain attractive to investors.

The two objectives are not necessarily incompatible. Britain could pursue targeted trade agreements while reviewing the effect of domestic policies on investment. But the government would need to consider the combined effect of its decisions rather than treating each policy area in isolation.

Green has called for a competitive tax system, more efficient planning processes and greater stability for businesses. His argument is that international cooperation can help create opportunities, but domestic policy determines whether companies find Britain an attractive place to take advantage of them. <Cite refs={[“turn362752news21”]}/>

That is a relevant challenge for Burnham as he develops his European strategy.

Could Closer EU Ties Make It Easier to Leave Britain?

The warning also touches on the relationship between economic integration and personal mobility.

A closer relationship with the EU could involve different arrangements depending on what Britain negotiates. A limited trade agreement would not automatically restore freedom of movement, and a youth mobility scheme would be different from the unrestricted movement that existed before Brexit.

Any claim that a new deal would immediately allow wealthy Britons to relocate freely throughout Europe would therefore be premature without knowing its terms.

However, Green’s broader point is that international mobility can influence investment decisions. Entrepreneurs and families with businesses or assets in several countries may already have options that are unavailable to most people. Changes to residence rules, tax arrangements or access to markets can affect how they compare those options.

If a future agreement did make relocation easier for certain groups, some individuals might consider whether living elsewhere offered financial or professional advantages. Others would remain in Britain because of family ties, business relationships, personal preferences or confidence in the UK economy.

The likely impact would depend on the details of the agreement and the decisions made by individuals and companies. It should not be treated as an inevitable consequence of closer EU cooperation.

For Burnham, the challenge is to ensure that a European reset strengthens Britain’s ability to attract investment rather than allowing concerns about taxation and policy uncertainty to undermine that objective.

The Economic Case for a Reset

Supporters of closer ties argue that Brexit created barriers that make trade with European countries more complicated than it was before withdrawal.

Businesses dealing with additional checks and documentation may face higher costs, while companies that rely on cross-border supply chains must account for different regulatory requirements. For some firms, these difficulties can influence decisions about investment, staffing and expansion.

A carefully negotiated agreement could reduce some of those costs. Better cooperation in specific sectors could help British firms access markets, improve predictability and make it easier to plan future investment.

Burnham has argued that the government should explore these opportunities rather than assume that the existing settlement is sufficient. The UK–EU summit planned for 20 November provides a focal point for discussions about potential progress.

Yet the economic benefits of a new agreement would depend on what the two sides actually negotiate. Britain cannot simply demand easier access while assuming there will be no corresponding obligations. European negotiators will also seek to protect the rules and interests of the EU.

A realistic assessment must therefore consider both sides of the calculation: what barriers could be reduced, and what commitments might Britain have to accept in return?

The government should also distinguish between potential gains and guaranteed outcomes. A projected economic benefit is not the same as money already delivered to businesses or households.

The Political Risks of Revisiting Brexit

Burnham’s approach has already attracted criticism from politicians who believe the referendum settled the question of Britain’s EU membership.

For many Brexit supporters, leaving the EU was about more than trade. It represented a desire for greater national control over laws, immigration and international policy. They may therefore view closer regulatory alignment as a gradual reversal of the independence they expected Brexit to deliver.

Supporters of a reset take a different view. They argue that accepting the referendum result does not mean Britain must refuse to improve its relationship with Europe. In their view, practical cooperation can be pursued without immediately reopening the question of membership.

These positions reflect a genuine policy disagreement. The implications of a new agreement would depend on its terms, not simply on whether politicians describe it as a reset or a reversal.

Burnham has said the public should have the final say on the country’s long-term direction. That commitment places particular importance on transparency. Voters need to know what is being negotiated, what obligations might follow and whether the government is discussing limited agreements or considering a more fundamental change.

The warning from Green adds another consideration to that debate: even if closer cooperation improves trade, the government must still address the domestic policies that influence investment and economic competitiveness.

What Should the Government Consider?

A comprehensive approach would examine the potential effects of a European reset across several areas.

First, ministers would need to assess how much particular agreements could reduce trade barriers and which industries would benefit. The effects would vary between sectors, and some businesses might gain more than others.

Second, the government would need to explain the regulatory obligations associated with any agreement. Businesses benefit from predictable rules, but the public should understand where Britain would retain discretion and where it would agree to follow common standards.

Third, ministers would need to consider taxation and investment policy alongside international negotiations. If Britain wants to attract entrepreneurs and companies, it must provide a stable environment in which businesses can plan, hire staff and invest for the long term.

Finally, any assessment should distinguish between evidence and speculation. Green’s warning identifies a risk worth considering, but it does not establish that a closer EU relationship would necessarily cause wealthy people or businesses to leave Britain.

The government would need reliable evidence about the factors influencing relocation decisions before drawing conclusions about the likely scale of any effect.

A Difficult Decision for Burnham

The warning presents Burnham with a challenge that goes beyond the immediate negotiations with Brussels.

A closer relationship with Europe could create opportunities to improve trade and cooperation. But those opportunities would need to be weighed against regulatory commitments, political concerns and the effect of domestic policies on investment.

The decision is not simply whether Britain should move closer to or further away from the EU. It is about identifying which arrangements would deliver practical benefits, what compromises would be required and how the government could ensure that Britain remains economically competitive.

Green’s argument is that international agreements cannot compensate for every weakness in domestic policy. Even if the government secures better trading arrangements, taxation, planning, infrastructure and long-term stability will continue to influence business decisions.

That warning deserves consideration without assuming that it proves a new EU deal would be harmful. Equally, Burnham’s promises of economic gains should be assessed against the actual terms negotiated and the results they deliver.

As the November summit approaches, the government faces pressure to explain its priorities and demonstrate that its plans are grounded in realistic expectations.

Ultimately, Britain’s future relationship with Europe will be judged not by the strength of political slogans but by the outcomes it produces. If closer cooperation reduces unnecessary barriers and supports investment, it could offer tangible advantages. If the government fails to address domestic competitiveness, however, a new agreement alone may not deliver the broader economic improvements it hopes to achieve.

Burnham’s challenge is to pursue the opportunities available through European cooperation while confronting the difficult questions about taxation, investment and national policy that accompany them.

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