Reform UK leader Nigel Farage is polling ahead of his rivals (Image: Getty)

Labour is second with 25%, up one, while the Tories are unchanged in third place on 21%.

The Liberal Democrats take 14%, while the Greens are on 9%.

The rebranded Brexit Party, which returned five MPs in July’s general election but came second in 98 constituencies, has climbed the polls in recent months.

Ms Badenoch said talk of a pact was “for the birds” and dismissed the prospect of the Clacton MP entering 10 Downing Street.

“The idea that you just do something with a whole different bunch of people and it’s going to be fine is for the birds. Politics just doesn’t work like that.

Meanwhile, Mr Farage said he did not consider the Conservatives to be “honourable”.

He said: “To do a pact with people, you’ve got to think, I’m going to shake your hand and you’re an honourable person.

“After the betrayal post the 2019 election, we do not believe them to be honourable. Simple as that, so the answer is no.”

Reform Tops Huge Poll for Second Week Running With Highest-Ever Score

Reform UK’s growing support has become one of the defining features of Britain’s changing political landscape, with Nigel Farage continuing to challenge Labour, the Conservatives and the traditional assumptions that have shaped Westminster for decades. Claims that Reform has achieved its highest-ever score for a second consecutive week highlight the attention surrounding the party’s polling performance, although the wider picture is more complicated than any single survey can suggest.

Recent polling has shown substantial movement between the major parties. Reform has recorded strong results in several surveys, but the latest figures also indicate that its support can fluctuate as rival parties attempt to rebuild their positions. A YouGov poll conducted on October 4–5, 2026, put Labour on 27 per cent, Reform on 22 per cent and the Conservatives on 20 per cent. A separate Survation poll conducted between October 3 and 5 placed Labour on 30 per cent, Reform on 24 per cent and the Conservatives on 19 per cent. <Cite refs={[“turn244669search9″,”turn244669search0”]}/>

These results demonstrate why claims about a record score must be considered alongside the pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and previous measurements. Without identifying the specific survey behind the headline, it is not possible to confirm that Reform has achieved its highest-ever score for a second week running.

Nevertheless, the party’s position remains central to the national political debate. Farage has built Reform around a message of challenging the established parties, tightening immigration controls, reducing government waste and changing the direction of British politics.

Farage’s challenge to the established parties

For much of the past decade, British politics has been dominated by arguments over Brexit, public spending, immigration and the performance of successive governments. Reform has sought to bring these issues together under a single political message: that the traditional parties have failed to deliver the changes many voters expected.

Farage has repeatedly presented Reform as an alternative for people who feel that Westminster does not listen to their concerns. The party’s appeal extends across several issues, including the cost of living, taxation, public services and the management of the country’s borders.

Immigration remains one of its most prominent priorities. Reform has advocated a tougher approach to irregular migration, changes to the asylum system and the removal of people who have no legal right to remain in the United Kingdom. Farage argues that stronger enforcement is necessary to restore public confidence in border controls.

The party also seeks to attract voters who are frustrated with government spending and believe that public institutions need more rigorous scrutiny. Its proposals have included reducing what it describes as waste, changing tax arrangements and placing greater emphasis on domestic priorities.

These positions have helped Reform distinguish itself from the Conservatives and Labour. However, the extent to which voters support individual proposals is not necessarily the same as their willingness to vote for the party. Polling can measure stated voting intentions, but it cannot by itself establish which issues will ultimately determine an election.

Labour attempts to regain ground

The polling picture has become more challenging for Reform following a period in which the party frequently occupied first place in national voting-intention surveys.

In late September, YouGov recorded Reform on 25 per cent and Labour on 24 per cent, with the Conservatives on 19 per cent. By the poll conducted on October 4–5, Labour had risen to 27 per cent while Reform had fallen to 22 per cent. YouGov described Labour’s five-point advantage as its largest statistically significant lead in the tracker for three months. <Cite refs={[“turn244669search12″,”turn244669search9”]}/>

Survation’s October survey produced a similar ordering, with Labour at 30 per cent and Reform at 24 per cent. The pollster reported that Labour’s figure was its highest since December 2024 and that Reform had remained within a narrower range across its five most recent polls. <Cite refs={[“turn244669search0”]}/>

The changes suggest that the political contest remains fluid. Reform’s earlier gains have put pressure on Labour, but the government’s opponents cannot assume that its support will continue rising without interruption.

Labour’s performance also depends on how voters assess the government’s record. Economic growth, household finances, public-service waiting times, taxation and immigration can all influence public opinion. A change in the political leadership may also alter the way supporters and undecided voters view the party.

Polling changes should therefore be interpreted as snapshots of public opinion at particular moments rather than definitive judgments about the next general election.

The Conservative Party faces its own dilemma

Reform’s rise has also placed the Conservatives under pressure to define their relationship with Farage’s party.

Some Conservative figures have argued that the two parties should cooperate to avoid splitting voters who oppose Labour. Others believe that an agreement would damage the Conservative identity, weaken its independence or give Reform excessive influence over the political right.

Kemi Badenoch has rejected a formal alliance with Reform, insisting that the Conservatives should maintain their own identity and political programme. Farage, meanwhile, has distinguished between an electoral agreement before a general election and the possibility of discussions after the result. In October 2026, he described a pre-election deal as extremely unlikely while leaving open the question of post-election cooperation. <Cite refs={[“turn244669news5″,”turn244669search9”]}/>

The disagreement reflects a broader strategic problem. Reform wants to establish itself as a major national party rather than remain an extension of the Conservative movement. The Conservatives, for their part, have an incentive to recover voters who have moved towards Farage without appearing to concede that their political identity has become redundant.

A strong Reform polling result can intensify these arguments, but a weaker result can create uncertainty about how much electoral leverage the party would bring to any potential agreement.

For both parties, the question is not simply whether they share voters. It is whether they can agree on policies, leadership and the distribution of political responsibility.

What a record poll can—and cannot—tell us

The phrase “highest-ever score” is attention-grabbing, but it needs context. Polling organisations use different methodologies, and their results can vary according to sample selection, weighting, fieldwork dates and the wording of questions.

A party might achieve a record result in one pollster’s series while receiving a lower figure in another company’s survey. A two-point movement can also fall within a poll’s margin of error, meaning that it may not represent a statistically reliable change in public support.

The distinction between a single poll and a polling average is equally important. A survey provides a measurement of voting intention among a particular sample at a particular time. A rolling average combines multiple surveys to reduce the influence of individual results, although it remains sensitive to the number and composition of polls included.

The latest October figures illustrate the point. YouGov placed Reform on 22 per cent, while Survation recorded the party on 24 per cent. Both surveys put Labour ahead, but the exact size of the gap differed. <Cite refs={[“turn244669search9″,”turn244669search0”]}/>

Neither result proves that Reform’s earlier gains have disappeared, just as a record result in an individual poll would not establish that the party is certain to win a future election.

For voters, the useful questions are which issues are driving changes in support, whether the movement persists across several surveys and whether the parties can turn their stated intentions into actual votes.

Immigration, the economy and the battle for trust

Reform’s strategy depends on maintaining its reputation as a party prepared to challenge existing policies. Immigration provides a clear dividing line, but the party’s wider appeal will also be influenced by its economic proposals and its ability to explain how they would work in practice.

Reducing taxes, improving public services and controlling public expenditure are popular objectives across much of British politics. The difficult questions concern how those goals would be financed, which programmes would change and what consequences the policies might have for households, businesses and public institutions.

Labour faces similar scrutiny. Its supporters expect improvements in living standards and public services, while critics question whether the government can deliver its commitments. The Conservatives must also persuade voters that they have learned lessons from their period in office and can offer a credible alternative.

As a result, the political contest is not determined by one issue alone. Immigration, economic performance, healthcare, housing, taxation and trust in political leadership can all influence how voters respond.

Reform’s polling performance places these questions at the centre of the national debate. It also means that the party’s own proposals are likely to receive greater scrutiny as its profile expands.

The next test for Nigel Farage

For Farage, the challenge is to turn public attention into sustained support. High polling figures can increase a party’s visibility, attract prospective members and put pressure on its rivals. But maintaining that support requires consistent campaigning, credible candidates and clear answers to questions about policy.

Reform must also demonstrate that its organisation can function effectively across the country. Local campaigning, candidate selection and the management of elected representatives become increasingly important as a party expands. Internal disagreements or policy inconsistencies can attract greater attention when a party is being treated as a serious contender for national power.

Labour and the Conservatives, meanwhile, will attempt to persuade voters that their own programmes address the problems Reform has highlighted. Their success will depend on both their political messages and their record in government or opposition.

The latest polling evidence does not support a simple narrative of uninterrupted Reform growth. It shows a competitive and changing landscape in which individual surveys have produced different results and Labour has recently moved ahead in several measurements. <Cite refs={[“turn244669search9″,”turn244669search0″,”turn244669search12”]}/>

If Reform has indeed recorded its highest-ever score for a second consecutive week in a particular survey, that would be a notable result within that pollster’s series. Its significance, however, depends on the precise figures and whether other polling organisations detect a similar movement.

The broader story is that Farage’s party has become an important part of Britain’s electoral competition. Its challenge to Labour and the Conservatives has forced both parties to respond to issues Reform has made central to its campaign. Whether that translates into sustained electoral gains will depend on the durability of public support, the credibility of the party’s policies and the choices voters make when they cast their ballots.

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.